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Grain shrink: how much grain is left after drying?

Work out the dry grain left after drying from the harvest and target moisture, the water removed, the shrink per point and the drying cost.

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Results

Dry grain at target moisture

9,185 bu

Each point of moisture removed costs about 1.2% of the grain weight
Total shrink
8.15%
Water shrink per point of moisture
1.183
Water removed (in wet-bushel equivalent)
769 bu
Estimated drying cost
$2,600

What grain shrink is

Grain is bought and sold at a standard moisture, for example 15.5% for corn and 13% for soybeans in the United States. Grain harvested wetter must be dried, and the weight lost is called shrink. There are two parts: water shrink, the water removed, and handling shrink, the dust, broken kernels and fines lost along the way.

The formula

The dry matter does not change during drying, so:

Dry weight = wet weight × (100 − harvest moisture) ÷ (100 − target moisture)

The calculator then removes the handling shrink, often 0.5% to 1%.

Example

10,000 bushels of corn harvested at 22% and dried to 15.5%, with 0.5% handling shrink:

  • water shrink: 10,000 × 78 ÷ 84.5 ≈ 9,231 bu;
  • after handling shrink: about 9,185 bu;
  • total shrink: about 8.2%;
  • at $0.04 per point per bushel, drying 6.5 points costs about $2,600.

Shrink per point

Removing one point of moisture costs more than 1% of the weight, because the remaining grain is lighter too:

Water shrink per point = 100 ÷ (100 − target moisture)

At 15.5%, that is 1.183% per point. Elevators often use a slightly higher figure, such as 1.3% or 1.4% per point, which includes their own handling shrink. Compare their schedule with the true water shrink before deciding whether to dry on the farm.

Common market moistures

Crop Standard moisture
Corn 15.5%
Soybeans 13%
Wheat 13.5%
Sorghum 14%
Sunflower 10%

Drying decisions

  • Field drying is free but risks lodging, ear drop, stalk rot, wildlife damage and a late harvest. Corn often dries 0.5 to 1 point per day in early fall, much less later.
  • On-farm drying costs fuel and electricity: about 0.02 to 0.03 gallons of propane per bushel per point in a high-temperature dryer.
  • Storage moisture matters as much as market moisture: corn stored into summer is safer at 14% or lower.

Tips

  • Sample moisture from several loads with a calibrated meter.
  • Do not over-dry: grain dried below the market standard is sold at a lower weight with no premium.
  • Cool grain promptly after drying and aerate the bin to prevent hot spots.

Frequently asked questions

How do you calculate grain drying shrink?

Dry weight = wet weight × (100 − harvest moisture) ÷ (100 − target moisture), minus handling shrink.

What is the shrink factor per point for corn?

About 1.183% per point when drying to 15.5%; elevators often charge 1.3% to 1.4% including handling.

How many bushels are lost drying corn from 25% to 15.5%?

About 11.2% water shrink, so 10,000 wet bushels become about 8,876 dry bushels before handling shrink.

What moisture is corn sold at?

Usually 15.5% in the United States; soybeans are sold at 13%.

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Results are estimates provided for information purposes. They do not replace professional advice.