Size up a rental before you buy
Listings love to quote a gross yield based on rent and price alone. Once you account for vacancy, property tax, insurance, HOA dues, maintenance, capital reserves and management, the picture is usually less rosy. This calculator works out the net operating income (NOI) and the cap rate, the standard yardsticks investors use to compare rental properties regardless of how they are financed.
The formulas
Potential gross income = (monthly rent + other income) × 12
Effective gross income = potential income × (1 − vacancy %)
Operating expenses = property tax + insurance + HOA + (maintenance % + management %) × effective income
NOI = effective income − operating expenses
Cap rate = NOI ÷ purchase price × 100
NOI deliberately excludes mortgage payments, income tax and depreciation, so two properties can be compared on the same basis.
Worked example: a $300,000 single-family rental
Rent $2,300 a month, 5% vacancy, $3,600 property tax, $1,400 insurance, no HOA, 8% maintenance and 8% management.
- Potential income: 2,300 × 12 = $27,600.
- Effective income: 27,600 × 95% = $26,220.
- Maintenance and management: 16% × 26,220 = $4,195.
- Operating expenses: 3,600 + 1,400 + 4,195 = $9,195.
- NOI: 26,220 − 9,195 = $17,025 a year, about $1,419 a month.
- Cap rate: 17,025 ÷ 300,000 = 5.67%. Gross yield is 9.2%, and rent is 0.77% of the price, short of the 1% rule.
Sensitivity to rent
| Monthly rent | Gross yield | NOI | Cap rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,900 | 7.60% | $13,194 | 4.40% |
| $2,100 | 8.40% | $15,110 | 5.04% |
| $2,300 | 9.20% | $17,025 | 5.67% |
| $2,500 | 10.00% | $18,940 | 6.31% |
| $2,700 | 10.80% | $20,855 | 6.95% |
| $3,000 | 12.00% | $23,728 | 7.91% |
Because taxes and insurance are fixed, every extra $100 of rent adds almost $960 to NOI.
Beyond the cap rate
- Financing: with a mortgage, look at cash flow after debt service and at cash-on-cash return on the money you actually put in. A cap rate below your mortgage rate usually means negative leverage.
- Taxes: in the US, rental income is taxed as ordinary income, but depreciation (27.5 years for residential property) and deductible expenses often shelter much of it.
- Capital expenditures: roofs, HVAC and water heaters do not show up every year, which is why a reserve percentage belongs in the expenses.
- Local rules: rent control, licensing and short-term rental restrictions can cap your income.
Run every property through the same assumptions so you are comparing deals, not optimism.