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Will this house flip make money?

Add up the purchase, closing, renovation and holding costs of a fix-and-flip, subtract selling costs and tax, and check the deal against the 70% rule.

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Results

Net profit after tax

$22,620

Profitable on paper, but the price is above the 70% rule: little margin for surprises
Return on total cost
8.9%
Total cost (purchase, closing, renovation, holding)
$253,000
Profit before tax
$29,000
Estimated tax
$6,380
Maximum price under the 70% rule
$170,000

This calculator gives estimates for education and planning. It is not investment, tax or legal advice; for decisions about your own situation, talk to a qualified financial professional.

How a flip makes or loses money

A house flip means buying a property, renovating it and selling it quickly at a higher price. The difference between the purchase and sale prices looks like profit, but many costs come out of it before you see a dollar.

The costs to include

  • Purchase price and closing costs on the purchase, often 2 to 5%.
  • Renovation costs, plus a contingency of 10 to 20% for surprises behind the walls.
  • Holding costs for every month you own the house: loan interest, property taxes, insurance, utilities, HOA dues.
  • Selling costs: agent commissions, seller-paid closing costs and concessions, often 6 to 10% of the sale price.
  • Taxes on the profit.

The calculation

  1. Total invested = purchase + purchase closing costs + renovation + monthly holding costs × months.
  2. Net sale = sale price − selling costs.
  3. Profit before tax = net sale − total invested.
  4. Net profit = profit before tax − tax.
  5. Return on investment = net profit ÷ total invested.

Example

A house bought for $200,000 with 2% closing costs, $40,000 of renovation, $1,500 a month of holding costs for 6 months and 6% selling costs on a $300,000 sale leaves a pre-tax profit of $29,000. At a 22% tax rate, net profit is about $22,600, a return of about 9% on $253,000 invested.

The 70% rule

Experienced flippers use a quick screen: maximum purchase price = 70% × after-repair value − renovation cost. In the example, that is 0.7 × $300,000 − $40,000 = $170,000. Paying $200,000 leaves little room for overruns or a drop in prices.

Taxes

In the US, a house held one year or less produces a short-term capital gain, taxed at ordinary income rates. People who flip regularly may be treated as dealers: their profit is business income, subject to self-employment tax of 15.3% on top of income tax, and losses are treated differently. Some states add their own income tax. Ask a tax professional before starting.

Risks

Renovations take longer and cost more than planned, permits can delay work, and a market slowdown can stretch the sale over months. Financing with hard-money loans at high rates makes every delay more expensive. Build a margin of safety into your numbers.

Frequently asked questions

What is the 70% rule in house flipping?

A rule of thumb that you should pay no more than 70% of the after-repair value, minus the cost of repairs. For a house worth $300,000 after a $40,000 renovation, the maximum offer would be $170,000. The 30% margin covers closing, holding and selling costs and the profit.

What costs do flippers forget?

Holding costs, such as loan interest, property taxes, insurance and utilities, add up every month the project runs late. Selling costs, including agent commissions and seller-paid closing costs, often reach 6 to 10% of the sale price.

How are house flipping profits taxed?

A house held for a year or less produces a short-term capital gain, taxed at your ordinary income rate. Someone who flips regularly may be treated as a dealer, whose profits are ordinary business income subject to self-employment tax. Ask a tax professional for your situation.

What return should a flip make?

Many investors aim for a net profit of at least 10 to 20% of the total investment, or a fixed minimum such as $25,000 per project, to compensate for the risk of overruns and a slower market.

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Results are estimates provided for information purposes. They do not replace professional advice.